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The Honolulu Advertiser
Updated at 5:04 a.m., Sunday, November 2, 2008

MLB: Big-money teams expected to flourish at GM meetings

By Ken Davidoff
Newsday

Most of baseball's 30 general managers will arrive in Dana Point, Calif., on Sunday and Monday for the annual GM meetings, the unofficial beginning of baseball's offseason.

It's going to be a busy winter, with huge names out there for the taking. But coming off a World Series that featured the stunning rise of the small-market Rays, there's a clear number one issue to monitor:

With the way our national economy is going, will this offseason serve as a revenge of the haves against the have-nots?

"What I think is likely is that there are still a group of teams — due to either new revenue streams, extremely positive market conditions, big markets, positive markets or the newness of winning — that are sequestered from the realities of our country's economic challenges," Indians GM Mark Shapiro said. "I don't think what's going on in our country is going to affect the contracts of premium players. After that select group of teams, there clearly will be a large number of teams that are impacted by the economy."

You needn't have even Hank Steinbrenner's intellect to figure out to which teams Shapiro is referring. Here are your haves, the teams that can afford runs at CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira and Manny Ramirez:

1. Yankees. No surprise there.

2. Mets. Or there.

3. Red Sox. Or there.

4. Angels. Owner Arte Moreno won't be intimidated by what's going on.

5. Dodgers. After their first playoff series victory in 20 years, they want to keep pushing forward.

6. Phillies. See Shapiro's "newness of winning" remark. The defending champions won't sit back after their success.

Elsewhere, uncertainty rules. With the Cubs possibly off the market now, how aggressively will they spend? How hard will Orioles owner Peter Angelos go after Maryland native Teixeira?

How many players will be available via trade primarily because of the economy? We already have one example in San Diego's Jake Peavy.

It could be good news for our local duo, which could face less competition for free agents because of our country's bad shape.

Red Sox renovations

The Red Sox are in far better shape than their rivals in the Bronx. GM Theo Epstein has managed to establish the nucleus of young talent that Brian Cashman is trying to match with the Yankees.

But the Sawx aren't above going outside their organization when they think they have a good fit, and they're expected to do just that to boost their offense and fill their hole at catcher.

Boston will aggressively pursue Teixeira, two industry sources confirmed. While the Red Sox have a very good first baseman in Kevin Youkilis, they can move Youkilis to third to make room for Teixeira. Incumbent third baseman Mike Lowell is recovering from hip surgery and isn't expected to be ready until mid-March, and as much as the Red Sox like Lowell, they can look to trade him.

With David Ortiz experiencing his least productive season as a Red Sox player after dealing with a wrist injury, the Sox want to import a high-impact offensive force. Given that they're probably not interested in bringing back Manny, Teixeira is the guy.

At catcher, meanwhile, Jason Varitek is a free agent. The Sox might want to quit while they're ahead on him, as popular as he is, the way they intelligently did with Pedro Martinez and Johnny Damon.

Boston is looking at Texas' Jarrod Saltalamacchia as a potential replacement. The Rangers have a glut of catchers and will be looking to use that glut to, most likely, acquire pitching.

A good fit

The Yankees should hire Mick Kelleher, reported by Newsday on Saturday as a candidate for their coaching staff. Kelleher has a long-standing relationship with Robinson Cano, and Kelleher's easygoing demeanor would be a boon to a team that takes itself too seriously too often.